The Sharpe ratio describes arithmetic mean excess return relative to its variability. It summarizes an entered sample; it neither grades an investment universally nor predicts its next return. Summary and series modes must use the same period convention to be comparable.

Arithmetic Means and Paired Excess Returns

Sharpe uses an arithmetic mean, not CAGR. In summary mode, enter means and volatility for one matched period, with a constant risk-free return in that period. Series mode first forms each portfolio-minus-risk-free observation, then calculates its arithmetic mean and sample standard deviation using n−1. When risk-free returns vary, portfolio volatility alone is not the same denominator.

Interpreting Signed Sample Values

A positive ratio means positive mean excess return; a negative ratio means the sample mean fell below its risk-free reference. Zero means zero mean excess when deviation is positive. Zero deviation leaves no finite ratio. No fixed cutoff proves quality, skill or suitability. Compare sample windows, fee treatment, currency and frequency before comparing values.

Annualization and Approximate Confidence

The square-root annualization rule assumes uncorrelated excess returns and stable moments; serial correlation can invalidate it. The displayed 95% interval is a named iid-normal approximation: independent, identically distributed normal excess returns. It is not an exact small-sample guarantee, a probability of future profit, or a correction for fat tails and selection bias.

Keep Other Risk Measures Distinct

CAGR describes compounded growth, not the arithmetic Sharpe numerator. Calmar uses observed CAGR divided by maximum drawdown over the same window. Sortino uses a separately specified downside deviation; Information ratio uses benchmark-relative active returns and tracking error. None makes volatility a complete measure of risk or removes the need to examine losses, liquidity and fees.